Antarcticaโ€™s ice could be gone โ€˜foreverโ€™ if warming continues, scientists warn

MANILA, Philippines โ€“ Antarctica, the coldest and most remote continent on Earth, is showing signs of irreversible ice loss โ€” a phenomenon that scientists say could reshape global coastlines and threaten millions of lives worldwide if carbon emissions continue unchecked.


The stark warning comes as recent climate models suggest that key parts of the Antarctic ice sheet, particularly in West Antarctica, may have already passed a critical tipping point. Once triggered, the collapse of massive ice shelves and glaciers could become unstoppable โ€” even if global warming slows down in the future.

โ€œForever,โ€ scientists clarify, does not mean Antarctica will lose all its ice overnight. Rather, it refers to a process that, once set in motion, could lead to the gradual but permanent retreat of ice sheets over centuries or even millennia โ€” a change that cannot be reversed within the timescale of human civilization.

Irreversible melt

Satellite data show that Antarctica is losing ice faster than ever. Research published in Nature Climate Change found that the West Antarctic Ice Sheet is โ€œdoomed to meltโ€ under current global warming trends, potentially contributing several meters to sea-level rise over the next few centuries.

The Thwaites Glacier โ€” often dubbed the โ€œDoomsday Glacierโ€ โ€” is one of the biggest concerns. Roughly the size of Florida, itโ€™s melting from below as warm ocean water seeps under its ice shelf. Once the Thwaites collapses, it could destabilize neighboring glaciers, accelerating the continentโ€™s overall ice loss.

โ€œWhat happens in Antarctica doesnโ€™t stay in Antarctica,โ€ said climate scientist Eric Rignot of the University of California, Irvine. โ€œEvery centimeter of sea-level rise matters for the worldโ€™s coastal communities.โ€


Global consequences

If the Antarctic ice sheet continues to melt at its current pace, global sea levels could rise dramatically, submerging low-lying coastal areas and displacing tens of millions of people.

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For the Philippines โ€” an archipelago highly vulnerable to rising seas โ€” this could mean stronger storm surges, saltwater intrusion in farmlands, and intensified flooding in cities such as Manila, Cebu, and Zamboanga.

The United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has warned that even a 1.5ยฐC rise in global temperatures โ€” the target set by the Paris Agreement โ€” may not be enough to prevent irreversible changes in the Antarctic ice system.

A call for urgent action

Scientists say there is still time to slow the process โ€” but only through drastic global emission cuts and aggressive adaptation measures.

โ€œAntarctica is sending a clear message,โ€ said British glaciologist Dr. Anna Hogg. โ€œIf we keep heating the planet, we are locking in consequences that no future generation can undo.โ€

The fate of the worldโ€™s largest ice sheet, experts add, is ultimately tied to the decisions humanity makes today โ€” from cutting fossil fuel dependence to protecting ecosystems that absorb carbon.

Once the ice is gone, they warn, it may never return.

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